Anna Zalik's work on Shell Oils Trilemma- scenarios
Anticipation: Technoscience, Life, affect, termporality. Vicanne Adams, Michelle Murphy, Adele E Clark.
The Trilemma at left used infographics to represent series of potential futures that Shell might encounter depending upon the future changes within social, political, economic and ecological factors among others.
Proliferating forms of prediction apply to:
finance and capital accumulation
diasters
political upheaval (China)
(((China is a good case in point and typical of many states where the prevention of social upheaval in the future is the determinate factor for policy)))
(((Another modest example is Trump in his selectively timed release of "news")))
((( the cliff hanger))) ((( the intercut)))
self:
health:
spirituality:
As a affective state, anticipation is infused with anxiety- "Anticipation if the palpable effect of the speculative future on the present."(247) The authors explain: anticipation is a proactive way of "orienting oneself temporally." Can we say, imagining the self in a future, but that future has so many contingencies that it is impossible to actually know. Nevertheless they say we must act. (Contrast to a traditional society where there are a limited number of contingencies that can be anticipated in a future, and there are long constructed forms of knowledge and law.)
Technoscience and life- use of biomedicine, the scrutiny of genetic histories and presents with a nod to what could happen- go wrong or right in the future. Stem cell collection, collecting biological material and freezing cell lines of individuals, plants. HeLa Henrietta Lacks.
The commonplace of testing the child's gender before birth. The IRA and Roth IRA.
All revolutionary movements, all movement toward something better and the fear of something worse. How does anticipation color the present? Because the future has so much importance, anxiety proliferates and insinuates itself into many areas of daily life unrecognized, sometimes in the form of emotional affects that seem to be about something else - urgency for example as regards climate change.
Anticipation and accompanying anxiety structure the social of today; we should ask how. We should not imagine there is anything "natural" about it.
Jackie Orr (2006): Psychopolitics: states, corporations and military institutions tactically project onto subjects - producing fear
-- as if the emergency has already happened..
Anticipatory "regimes" operate through expansion.. (250)
Abduction- tacking back and forth between present and future
academics and activists too
Food production: commodity futures, emergent disease
global health regimes- anticipation of disease- HPV and other pre-emptive disease treatment. cancers of the breast
Risk is a commodity to be gambled on.. weather futures- weather derivatives
anticipating class..
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